Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.984385 2.163906 2.355316 2.575090 2.821074 3.088606 3.402521
2026-01-25 1.719675 1.964448 2.241112 2.578874 2.982645 3.453029 4.047147
2026-02-01 1.513329 1.786975 2.109556 2.521568 3.039111 3.674808 4.525865
2026-02-08 1.369346 1.659887 2.014057 2.483273 3.097233 3.885620 4.995138
2026-02-15 1.264532 1.567123 1.946641 2.465538 3.169164 4.109049 5.492889
2026-02-22 1.206529 1.526264 1.938094 2.518195 3.332152 4.461898 6.201257
2026-03-01 1.132303 1.456993 1.884591 2.502232 3.394504 4.674702 6.724642
2026-03-08 1.060352 1.384801 1.820456 2.463846 3.417796 4.828046 7.168884
2026-03-15 0.982267 1.298748 1.730643 2.380497 3.365537 4.859600 7.418254
2026-03-22 0.942544 1.263118 1.708433 2.392429 3.455017 5.113901 8.057754
2026-03-29 0.915531 1.243374 1.706891 2.433690 3.591178 5.452306 8.879134
2026-04-05 0.887917 1.220809 1.699226 2.464001 3.710842 5.772802 9.707165
2026-04-12 0.859089 1.195551 1.686967 2.487728 3.824267 6.098415 10.599427
2026-04-19 0.827166 1.163912 1.663069 2.490965 3.903330 6.371701 11.430534
2026-04-26 0.783750 1.112632 1.605965 2.436001 3.877474 6.452800 11.886353
2026-05-03 0.748073 1.071320 1.561951 2.399302 3.879703 6.584127 12.462026
2026-05-10 0.719495 1.039526 1.531097 2.382309 3.914988 6.779979 13.202842
2026-05-17 0.707447 1.032825 1.539712 2.432750 4.076432 7.235647 14.592746
2026-05-24 0.682545 1.004556 1.511736 2.417459 4.113588 7.446593 15.450030
2026-05-31 0.654989 0.970818 1.473060 2.380687 4.106576 7.565604 16.104111
2026-06-07 0.620796 0.925015 1.412297 2.300822 4.010094 7.487755 16.256692
2026-06-14 0.605858 0.909932 1.402280 2.312256 4.093820 7.802723 17.466131
2026-06-21 0.596828 0.904098 1.407514 2.351795 4.236624 8.261824 19.143076